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Sarcopenic obesity and the risk of atrial fibrillation in non-diabetic older adults: A prospective cohort study.

Evidence of an association between sarcopenic obesity (SO) and the risk of long-term atrial fibrillation (AF) is lacking, and the underlying involvement of insulin resistance (IR) and inflammation is not clear. This community-based prospective cohort study evaluated sarcopenia, obesity, and baseline clinical characteristics in 4321 non-diabetic older adults between 2007 and 2011.

Sarcopenia was identified using skeletal muscle mass/body weight (SMM/BW), appendicular lean mass (ALM)/BW, and handgrip strength (HGS), and obesity was identified by fat mass (FM)/BW. The association of sarcopenia and obesity with AF risk was determined by Kaplan-Meier analysis and a Cox proportional hazards model.

Interaction analysis, a restricted cubic splines model, mediation analysis, and a Fine-Gray competing-risk model were also used. Over an average of 10.9 years of follow-up, 546 (11.98 per 1000 person-years) participants developed AF.

Low SMM/BW, low ALM/BW, low HGS, high FM/BW, sarcopenia and obesity, were significantly associated with an increased AF risk. There was a significant synergistic relationship between sarcopenia and obesity in the increased AF risk [hazard ratio (HR): 2.029, 95ย % confidence interval (CI): 1.639-2.512].

Compared with participants without sarcopenia and obesity, AF risk was the highest in those with SO (HR: 2.669, 95ย % CI: 2.110-3.377], followed by sarcopenia alone (HR: 1.980, 95%CI: 1.453-2.699) and obesity (HR: 1.839, 95%CI: 1.475-2.292). Mediation analysis found that estimated glucose disposal rate (a surrogate marker of IR), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and galectin-3 were mediating factors in the increased AF risk caused by SO, accounting for 34.87ย %, 27.56ย %, and 21.05ย % of the total effect, respectively.

SO significantly increased AF risk in these non-diabetic older individuals. Sarcopenia and obesity not only acted alone but also exhibit had a synergistic relationship to increase AF risk.

IR and inflammation mediated the increased AF risk associated with SO.

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